SportsLine’s model has simulated the 2025 Daytona 500 10,000 times and released its coveted best bets
SportsLine’s model has simulated the 2025 Daytona 500 10,000 times and released its coveted best bets
Denny Hamlin is the only three-time winner in the 2025 Daytona 500 field, making him one of six drivers to win at least three Daytona 500s. He will try to become the third driver to win the Great American Race on four occasions when he competes in this year’s race at Daytona International Speedway on Sunday at 2:30 p.m. ET. Hamlin has one of the shortest 2025 Daytona 500 odds at 15-1, trailing only Kyle Busch (11-1), Kyle Larson (12-1), Chase Elliott (12-1), Joey Logano (13-1), and Ryan Blaney (13-1) among the 2025 Daytona 500 contenders. Blaney finished as the Cup Series runner-up last season after claiming the title in 2023 and won Daytona’s summer race in 2021. Defending Daytona 500 champion William Byron is a 17-1 longshot on the NASCAR odds board. See the latest odds, picks, props, and more here, all from a model that just simulated every lap of the race 10,000 times.
Making 2025 Daytona 500 predictions can help form not only Daytona 500 outright picks, but also NASCAR props and matchups. Which manufacturers are prepared to get off to a hot start this season? SportsLine’s advanced NASCAR model, which has nailed a colossal 19 race winners, has revealed its NASCAR predictions for the 2025 Daytona 500, identifying three drivers with odds of 15-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag.
Top Daytona 500 sleeper picks from 10,000 simulations
Pick: William Byron (17-1)
Byron enters this race as the defending champion, giving Hendrick Motorsports a win 40 years to the day that they made their first NASCAR Cup Series start in 1984. He recorded the first win of his career in the 2020 Coke Zero Sugar 400, avoiding various wrecks and winning in overtime at Daytona. Byron added victories at the Circuit of the Americas and Martinsville last year, and he made the Championship 4.
Get Daytona 500 picks here from a model that has nailed 19 winners since 2021.
Pick: Todd Gilliland (24-1)
The Front Row Motorsports driver made his first Cup Series appearance in the 2022 Daytona 500, where he started 29th and finished 33rd after being eliminated in a crash on lap 190. He showed massive improvement last year, leading a then career-high 16 laps in the 2024 Daytona 500 prior to being involved in a late-race incident. Gilliland signed a multi-year extension with Front Row last June, and the model thinks he is a valuable longshot this weekend.
Get Daytona 500 picks here from a model that has nailed 19 winners since 2021.
Pick: Ryan Preece (44-1)
Preece made his Cup Series debut in 2015, but he has bounced around between organizations and had to earn his way back into the highest level of the sport. The 34-year-old has a new team behind him in RFK Racing after Stewart-Haas Racing shut down its NASCAR operations following last season. Preece has 16 top-10 finishes in Cup Series races, and the variance of a super-speedway track makes him an enticing longshot for the Daytona 500.
Get Daytona 500 picks here from a model that has nailed 19 winners since 2021.
Top Daytona 500 expert picks, longshots revealed
You’ve seen the latest model picks. Now, get Daytona 500 expert advice before locking in your Daytona 500 picks. Visit SportsLine now to see NASCAR insiders Phil Bobbitt and Steve Greco’s best bets for the Daytona 500, all from the experts who have returned more than $28,000 for $100 bettors over the past four years.
CBS Sports NASCAR expert Steven Taranto has also revealed his picks for the 2025 Daytona 500, including a longshot who pays more than 70-1. Visit SportsLine now to see his 2025 Daytona 500 picks, all from the expert who hit William Byron as a 16-1 longshot in the 2024 Daytona 500.
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