Where to bet and what to bet for Commanders vs. Eagles and Bills vs. Chiefs in the 2025 NFL playoffs on Sunday
Where to bet and what to bet for Commanders vs. Eagles and Bills vs. Chiefs in the 2025 NFL playoffs on Sunday
The Philadelphia Eagles, Washington Commanders, Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills are the final four teams remaining in the 2025 NFL Playoffs, but only two will have the chance to go Super Bowl LIX in New Orleans on Sunday, February 9. Both matchups during NFL Championship Weekend will be between opponents who are eerily familiar with one another, as the Eagles and Commanders both play in the NFC East and this will be the ninth time that the Chiefs and Bills have met since 2020.
The 2025 NFC Championship Game kicks off at 3 p.m. ET at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia and the Eagles are 6-point favorites, while the over/under is 47 in the latest NFL odds. These two franchises split their two regular-season matchups, with both games decided by a single possession. Saquon Barkley will be looking to continue a dominant season after rushing 205 more yards and two touchdowns last week while Jayden Daniels will be looking to build upon a debut season that is likely to win him NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year honors.
Meanwhile, the Chiefs are favored by two at home in the current NFL lines and the over/under is also 47.5 for the 2025 AFC Championship Game. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET at Arrowhead Stadium and all eyes will be on Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen. This will be the fourth time in five postseasons that the two superstar quarterbacks have met in the postseason and Mahomes has been victorious in all three of the previous matchups.
Those who have a strong opinion on one side of the point spread in either of these games, would like to try betting on the NFL and do not already have a FanDuel Sportsbook account can take advantage of a welcome bonus. The promo offers new users $300 in bonus bets if you place and win your first bet of $5 or more.
The FanDuel Sportsbook promo is one of several sportsbook promotions being offered for the NFL’s Conference Championship Games. The FanDuel welcome bonus gives users the opportunity to build a bankroll with a relatively small initial investment. However, the bonus is not unique in the industry, as other online sportsbooks offer similar — and perhaps better — welcome promotions that are not dependent on winning the first bet.
Commanders at Eagles
- Kickoff time 3 p.m. ET
- Point spread Eagles -6
- Money line Eagles -287, Commanders +231
- Total 47.5
Picks and more to know
Two NFC East rivals will collide with a berth in Super Bowl LIX on the line when the Eagles host the upstart Commanders in the NFC Championship Game on Sunday at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. The matchup will mark the fifth conference championship game between divisional opponents since 2002. In the previous four such meetings, the division-winning team won three times.
The Eagles and Commanders split their regular-season meetings this season, with each team winning at home. In Week 11, Saquon Barkley ran for 146 yards and two touchdowns, both of which came in the final five minutes to lead Philadelphia to a 26-18 victory. Five weeks later, the Eagles built a 13-point lead entering the fourth quarter despite playing much of the game without quarterback Jalen Hurts (concussion). But Washington quarterback Jayden Daniels threw a career-high five touchdown passes, including the game-winning touchdown with six seconds remaining, for a 36-33 Commanders victory.
Daniels has carried over his stellar rookie play into the postseason. Through two playoff games, he has completed 69.7% of his passes, thrown four touchdowns, committed zero turnovers and added 87 rushing yards. Though Daniels had mixed results against the Eagles during the regular season, the Philadelphia defense just gave up 324 passing yards and two touchdowns to the Rams’ Matthew Stafford in the Divisional Round.
The Eagles ended up beating the Rams on that day thanks in large part to Barkley. After famously having one of the best regular seasons by a running back in NFL history, Barkley ran for 205 yards and two touchdowns against L.A., averaging a robust 7.9 yards per carry. On Sunday, he has a favorable matchup against a Washington defense that gave up 137.5 rushing yards per game during the regular season. Just two teams allowed more in 2024.
An X-factor in this game will be Hurts’ health. The dual-threat Philadelphia quarterback was clearly limited last week after appearing to tweak his left knee against the Rams. Hurts averages 42.0 rushing yards per game. If he’s not healthy, that would have a negative impact on the Eagles’ offense.
SportsLine experts Larry Hartstein, R.J. White, Micah Roberts, Jason La Canfora, Matt Severance, Jeff Hochman and Alex Selesnick have entered picks for this matchup, and the SportsLine Projection Model says one side has all of the value.
Bills at Chiefs
- Kickoff time 6:30 p.m. ET
- Point spread Chiefs -1.5
- Money line Chiefs -128, Bills +106
- Total 47.5
Picks and more to know
The top two teams in AFC will battle for a spot in Super Bowl LIX when the Chiefs and Bills square off in the AFC Championship Game on Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs have famously won the last two Super Bowls and are looking to become the first franchise in history to win three in a row. They’ve also won eight straight postseason games, the third-longest streak of all time. Meanwhile, the Bills have never won the Super Bowl.
This scintillating AFC showdown pits two familiar foes against one another. Sunday’s game will be the fourth playoff meeting in the past five seasons between these two teams. Kansas City has won each of those three previous postseason matchups, including a 27-24 win at Buffalo in the Divisional Round last year.
These teams faced each other in Week 11 of this season, and the Bills won that game 30-21 in upstate New York. On that day, Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen accounted for 327 yards (262 passing and 55 rushing) and two touchdowns, including what may be the NFL play of the year: a 26-yard touchdown rumble on fourth-and-2 to clinch the victory. The Bills also intercepted Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes twice in the win, which ended Kansas City’s quest for an undefeated regular season.
Allen and the Buffalo offense have been rolling, having scored at least 27 points in 11 of their last 13 games. During the regular season, they ranked second in the league in points per game (30.9). But the Chiefs’ defense, led by unblockable attack man Chris Jones, gave up just 19.2 points per game during the regular season, which was fourth best in the NFL. Excluding the season finale against Denver in which Kansas City rested its starters, the Chiefs have held their last six opponents to 20 points or fewer.
Kansas City’s offense has been clearly mediocre this season — the Chiefs were 15th in the league in scoring offense during the regular season (22.6 points per game) — but Mahomes and tight end Travis Kelce have a knack for coming up clutch in the playoffs. Mahomes and Kelce have connected for 18 playoff touchdowns, the most between a quarterback and a pass catcher in NFL history.
On Sunday, Mahomes, Kelce and Kansas City will face a Bills defense that has thrived on turnovers all season. Buffalo generated 32 takeaways during the regular season, which ranked third in the league. In the Divisional Round win last week over the Ravens, the Bills forced three turnovers while their offense committed none.
SportsLine experts Larry Hartstein, R.J. White, Jason La Canfora and Jeff Hochman have entered picks for this matchup, and the SportsLine Projection Model says one team covers in well over 50% of simulations.
About the FanDuel Sportsbook promo
The FanDuel welcome promo comes with a few terms and conditions. First, you must be a new FanDuel customer who has never signed up for the platform anywhere. For example, if you previously signed up in Michigan, you wouldn’t be eligible to sign up for a new account and claim the welcome bonus in Pennsylvania or any other state. You also must be at least 21 years old to sign up and claim the FanDuel promo.
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Claiming the FanDuel Sportsbook welcome bonus
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